Australia's oil and gas peak body, the Australian Energy Producers (AEP), says natural gas will play a critical role in helping the federal government meet its 2035 emissions target while securing stable energy.
AEP chief executive Samantha McCulloch said Australia’s oil and gas sector had already done a lot to cut emissions under the Safeguard Mechanism and through the
deployment of carbon capture, utilisation and storage technologies.
“Natural gas provides the reliable backup for growing shares of wind and solar in our energy mix,” said Ms
McCulloch.
“Gas will need to play an even greater role if Australia is to achieve the ambitious targets announced today,
which will require increased action and investment across the economy.
“Continued investment in new gas supply is needed to meet Australia’s long-term energy demand, because
without gas, the energy transition becomes harder, more expensive and less reliable.
“Australia’s policies should also recognise the growing opportunity for our LNG exports to deliver energy
security and emissions reductions in our region.”
To the contrary, IEEFA's CEO, Amandine Denis-Ryan, said the Treasury modelling clearly showed a continuously declining role for fossil gas in Australia's economy, with a 70 per cent decline expected by 2050 compared to 2025 levels.
"Consistent with our research, the Treasury modelling shows that coal and gas fugitive emissions can be cut by about two-thirds by 2040.
"This will require significant tightening of Safeguard Mechanism settings, which are currently not effective at driving fugitive emissions reductions."
She said that the energy sector plan highlights the importance of energy efficiency, which can deliver a 30 per cent reduction in energy use by 2050, adding gas would only play a temporary role in new iron and steel production, which is then replaced by green hydrogen.
"It is good to see the $5 billion net zero fund to support major investments in industrial decarbonisation and energy efficiency.
"It will also be important to consider financial and capability support for small to medium manufacturers, which have large untapped opportunities to improve their energy efficiency and to electrify, but limited resources.
"Our research cautions against relying on carbon capture and storage technologies to achieve emissions reductions in the energy and resources sectors."
Ms Denis-Ryan added that relying on CCS was unlikely to be economical, compared to renewable-based solutions.